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৩৬ বছরের রেকর্ড ভেঙে তেলের দামে উল্লম্ফন, মধ্যপ্রাচ্যের যুদ্ধেই বিশ্ববাজারে অস্থিরতা

কালের বেলা ডেস্ক >> / ১৪৩২ ভিউ:
আপডেট সময়: মঙ্গলবার, ১৯ মে ২০২৬, ১২:০৮ অপরাহ্ন

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মধ্যপ্রাচ্যে চলমান যুদ্ধ পরিস্থিতি বিশ্ব জ্বালানি বাজারে বড় ধরনের ধাক্কা দিয়েছে। ইয়েমেনের হুতি যোদ্ধাদের সরাসরি সংঘাতে জড়িয়ে পড়ার পর আন্তর্জাতিক বাজারে অপরিশোধিত তেলের দামে নজিরবিহীন উত্থান দেখা গেছে।

সোমবার (৩০ মার্চ) ব্রেন্ট ক্রুড অয়েলের দাম ব্যারেলপ্রতি বেড়ে দাঁড়িয়েছে ১১৫ দশমিক ৬৬ ডলারে, যা গত ৩৬ বছরের মধ্যে সর্বোচ্চ। শুধু চলতি মাসেই তেলের দাম বেড়েছে প্রায় ৫৯ শতাংশ যা ১৯৯০ সালের উপসাগরীয় যুদ্ধকালীন রেকর্ডকেও ছাড়িয়ে গেছে।

বিশ্লেষকদের মতে, সপ্তাহের শুরুতেই হুতিদের ইসরায়েলে প্রথম হামলা পরিস্থিতিকে আরও জটিল করে তোলে। এর প্রভাব সরাসরি পড়ে তেলের বাজারে। একই দিনে যুক্তরাষ্ট্রের ওয়েস্ট টেক্সাস ইন্টারমিডিয়েট (WTI) তেলের দামও বেড়ে ১০২ দশমিক ৫৬ ডলারে পৌঁছেছে।

বিশ্ববাজারে এই অস্থিরতার অন্যতম কারণ হলো হরমুজ প্রণালির অচলাবস্থা। বিশ্বের প্রায় এক-পঞ্চমাংশ তেল ও গ্যাস সরবরাহের এই গুরুত্বপূর্ণ পথ কার্যত বন্ধ হয়ে যাওয়ায় সরবরাহ শৃঙ্খলে বড় ধরনের বিঘ্ন ঘটেছে।

সংঘাত এখন আর শুধু পারস্য উপসাগরে সীমাবদ্ধ নেই; এটি ছড়িয়ে পড়েছে লোহিত সাগর ও বাব আল-মানদাব পর্যন্ত। ফলে আন্তর্জাতিক জাহাজ চলাচল এবং জ্বালানি পরিবহন নিয়ে বাড়ছে উদ্বেগ।

অন্যদিকে, বিকল্প পথ হিসেবে সৌদি আরব লোহিত সাগরের ইয়ানবু বন্দর ব্যবহার করে প্রতিদিন প্রায় ৪ দশমিক ৬৫ মিলিয়ন ব্যারেল তেল রপ্তানি করছে। তবে এই পথও ঝুঁকিমুক্ত নয়। বিশ্লেষকদের আশঙ্কা, ইয়ানবুতে কোনো বিঘ্ন ঘটলে সৌদি আরবকে মিসরের সুয়েজ-মেডিটেরিনিয়ান পাইপলাইনের ওপর নির্ভর করতে হবে।

এদিকে, যুদ্ধবিরতির আলোচনা চললেও পরিস্থিতি শান্ত হওয়ার কোনো সুস্পষ্ট ইঙ্গিত নেই। ওমানের সালালাহ টার্মিনালে হামলায় ব্যাপক ক্ষয়ক্ষতির খবর পাওয়া গেছে। একই সঙ্গে ইরান অভিযোগ করেছে, যুক্তরাষ্ট্র কূটনৈতিক আলোচনার আড়ালে সামরিক প্রস্তুতি জোরদার করছে।

সব মিলিয়ে, মধ্যপ্রাচ্যের এই সংঘাত এখন বৈশ্বিক অর্থনীতির জন্য বড় উদ্বেগের কারণ হয়ে দাঁড়িয়েছে। বিশেষজ্ঞরা বলছেন, পরিস্থিতি দ্রুত নিয়ন্ত্রণে না এলে তেলের দাম আরও বাড়তে পারে, যার প্রভাব পড়বে বিশ্বব্যাপী দ্রব্যমূল্য ও অর্থনীতিতে।


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